ChartOur World in Data

Estimated change in the death rate from non-optimal temperatures

Positive figures show an increase in deaths, negative figures show a decrease. Premature deaths include deaths from hot and cold temperatures, measured per 100,000 people. This is the estimated change based on the Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5 which reaches around 2°C of warming by mid-century, and 2.5°C by 2100.

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Our World in Data
Updated
02 May 2024
Last checked
22 Sept 2026
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Data visualization: Estimated change in the death rate from non-optimal temperatures

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Climate Impact Lab and the United Nations Human Development Programme – Human Climate Horizons (2024)

Attribution: Climate Impact Lab and the United Nations Human Development Programme

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