Chart · Our World in Data
ChartOur World in Data
Projected change in temperature-related death rate vs. GDP per capita
Positive figures show an increase in deaths, negative figures show a decrease. Premature deaths include deaths from heat and cold, measured per 100,000 people. Projections are based on the Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5 which reaches around 2°C of warming by mid-century, and 2.5°C by 2100.
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Climate Impact Lab and the United Nations Human Development Programme – Human Climate Horizons (2024); Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank (2026)
Attribution: Eurostat, OECD, IMF, and World Bank
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