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Estimated changes in temperature-related death rates compared to projected death rates
Positive values mean an increase in death rates, negative numbers mean a decrease, and are measured per 100,000 people. Temperature-related deaths include hot and cold temperatures, and are based on the Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5 which reaches around 2°C of warming by mid-century, and 2.5°C by 2100. This is given next to the UN's projected all-cause death rates in its medium population scenario.
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UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Climate Impact Lab and the United Nations Human Development Programme – Human Climate Horizons (2024)
Attribution: Climate Impact Lab and the United Nations Human Development Programme
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